Every move made thus far by the promoters of the All Progressive Congress (APC) since the idea of constructing a mega-party to give the PDP a run for its money was first mooted has been bold and audacious. Against incredible odds, the pseudo-ideological strange bedfellows in the ACN, ANPP and the CPC, with a deep history of treachery and betrayal amongst them, braved the odds and successfully launched the party to great media acclaim.

More audacious is the narrative of progressivism the party foisted on itself, a political illogic that has seduced a wide spectrum of social publics.

Having gotten away with this false title and dubious credentials the new party next set its sights on the ruling PDP; a party ridden by contradictions between a new national leadership intent on imposing its will on all its structural and administrative formations, and a bunch of very powerful governors who, consumed by narcissism, hubris and towering ego, would do all that it takes to protect and reinforce the enormous medievalized power they had appropriated over the years.

The coincidence of the raw 2015 political ambition of the APC princes and the nPDP warlords meant the formation of a Baconian partnership; that is, the recognition of deep divides among them but the higher necessity of stopping a bigger existential threat in the person of President Goodluck Jonathan. Again, the fusing of these two parallel political currents was bold and audacious. The APC has yet again chalked up a huge prize.

To the lay person who is unschooled in the art of political subterfuges, back-biting, intrigues and conspiracies and who equates events to an evolving dialectical process the picture cannot be any clearer.

On the one hand is the PDP pugilist dazed at the robes and absorbing tremendous punishment he apparently has no answer to, losing round after round in a gruelling contest.

On the other hand, is the audacious APC combatant, raking up points after points, baying for more blood and going for the proverbial sucker punch. Next stop was at the doorpost of ex-President Obasanjo, the godfather of the nPDP, and who readily obliged them with a blistering, direct assault on the person and integrity of President Jonathan.

Next after him was Speaker Aminu Tambuwal, PDP in name but APC in soul and spirit.

He lent a great helping hand and another round ended with 37 PDP House members defecting to the APC. Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar is next in their sights and it wont be any surprise if the APC wins that round too.

However, I have a sneaky feeling that the APC will win the battles but lose the POLITICAL WAR. This is not just the case of diminishing return setting in as it is bound to, but that constructing a tactical alliance with an incoherent strategic objective will sooner than later expose the falsity of its political premises and unleash a season of profound contradictions the party cannot surmount.

As a student of history and politics I can see the signs of an impending storm, the heralding of the season of self-deconstruction and self-immolation.

I strongly suspect that in 2014 while the PDP will become more compact, mobile, disciplined and structurally and organizationally more efficient, the APC will be engulfed in crisis upon crisis of an indescribable nature.

This is no tall political order, but the inevitable outcome of the contradictory relationships among the self-canceling political forces the party has appropriated within its ranks.

For those in the know it is becoming increasingly obvious that an anti-Buhari project is as strong as the anti-Jonathan project in the recesses of the minds of the leading players in the ranks of the old ACN, ANPP and the nPDP.

The Buhari spirit, with its moral piety and cult followership, is being steadily evacuated from the APC. Many observers do not see this process yet but I pray they should preserve this piece and refer to it sometime in 2014.

Political watchers should also train their minds on Kano State (Shekarau vs Kwankwaso); Adamawa State (Marwa vs Nyako); Kwara State (Saraki/Ahmed vs Lai Mohammed/Belgore); and Sokoto State (Bafarawa vsWamakko).

There are many more of such binary pairs currently off the radar but they will surely burst into light in 2014. Trust me.

I am not a member of the PDP and thus not a strategist for the party.

*Hon Uwakwe was the Chairman, Media and Publicity Committee of the Anambra State House of Assembly (1991-1993) and could be reached at edwakwe@gmail.com